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Future burned area projections in Iberia

Conference: EGU General Assembly 2014
Year: 2014
Contribution type: Submitted
PDF file: EGU2014-6489.pdf
Authors:
Sousa, P., Trigo, R., Pereira, M., Camara, C., Gouveia, C., ,

The spatial and temporal variability of burned area (BA) in the Iberian Peninsula (IP) was assessed and modeled through the merging of BA records from Portugal and Spain, a new dataset which allowed the construction of projections for future BA in different Iberian sectors. For this purpose, statistical models which reproduce the inter-annual BA variability were calibrated using the 1981-2005 period as a reference and then applied to Regional Climate Models (RCM) outputs for the 21st century.