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Evaluation of the ENSEMBLES Transient RCM Simulations Over Spain: Present Climate Performance and Future Projections

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We analyzed the state-of-the-art ensemble of RCMs produced in the ENSEMBLES project, focusing on daily maximum temperature and precipitation over Spain. We found that the best GCM-RCM couplings show a relatively good agreement with observed climate. The projected changes up to 2050 (A1B scenario) are quite consistent among the RCMs, generally indicating a decrease in precipitation (between −5 and −25 %) and an increase in maximum temperature (between 1 and 2.5 °C, depending on the season/area). These results suggest the urgency to develop and apply adaptation and mitigation strategies, also considering that, already at present, many areas in Spain suffer from problems related to climate change.

Detalles del libro
978-3-319-09300-0.jpg
Título del libro: 
Engineering Geology for Society and Territory - Volume 1
Autores/Editores: 
Lollino G., Manconi A., Clague J., Shan W., Chiarle M. (eds)
Editorial: 
Springer, Cham
Año: 
2015
ISBN: 
978-3-319-09300-0